Les Cahiers de Recherche - HEC Paris
Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability and Decision
(), Richard Bradley and Casey Helgeson
Abstract: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has
developed a novel framework for assessing and communicating uncertainty in
the findings published in their periodic assessment reports. But how should
these uncertainty assessments inform decisions? We take a formal
decision-making perspective to investigate how scientific input formulated
in the IPCC's novel framework might inform decisions in a principled way
through a normative decision model.
Keywords: climate; change; confidence; (follow links to similar papers)
28 pages, January 28, 2016
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