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Kiel Institute for World Economics Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for World Economics

No 1072:
An Introduction into the SVAR Methodology: Identification, Interpretation and Limitations of SVAR models

Jan Gottschalk

Abstract: This paper aims to provide a non-technical introduction into the SVAR methodology. Particular emphasize is put on the approach to identification in SVAR models, which is compared to identification in simultaneous equation models. It is shown that SVAR models are useful tools to analyze the dynamics of a model by subjecting it to an unexpected shock, whereas simultaneous equation models are better suited for policy simulations. A draw back of the SVAR methodology is that due to the low dimension of typical SVAR models the assumption that the underlying shocks are orthogonal is likely to be fairly restrictive.

Keywords: Structural Vector Autoregressions, Identification, Impulse Response Analysis; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: C32; C51; (follow links to similar papers)

42 pages, August 2001

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