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Kiel Institute for World Economics Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for World Economics

No 1098:
European Fiscal Policies Under the Stability Pact ; Some First Insights

Harmen Lehment

Abstract: EU Member countries have shown different degrees of ambition to reach a budget position of “close to balance or in surplus”. Differences in ambition can only partly be explained by the relative size of cyclical safety mar­gins or differences in the number of votes in the ECOFIN Council. It is also shown that in the medium run there is no evidence for a trade-off between budget consolidation and growth. Of the eight countries with the strongest reduction of structural budget deficits in the period 1992-2001, only one showed growth rates below the EU average. The other seven countries even managed to achieve higher growth rates than in the period 1974-91 during which structural deficits had increased.

Keywords: Fiscal Policy, Budget Deficits, European Union; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: E61; E65; (follow links to similar papers)

22 pages, March 2002

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