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Kiel Institute for World Economics Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for World Economics

No 1201:
A Preliminary Evaluation of Monetary Policy Rules for Russia

Akram Esanov, Christian Merkl and Lúcio Vinhas de Souza

Abstract: The paper reviews the recent conduct of monetary policy and the central bank’s rule-based behavior in Russia. Using different policy rules, we test whether the central bank in Russia reacts to changes in inflation, output gap and the exchange rate in a consistent and predictable manner. Our results indicate that during the period of 1993-2002 the Bank of Russia has used monetary aggregates as a main policy instrument in conducting monetary policy.

Keywords: Monetary policy rules; exchange rate; central bank; Russia; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: E52,; E61,; F33,; F41; (follow links to similar papers)

26 pages, January 2004

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