Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for World Economics
No 1317:
The Impact of New Drug Launches on the Loss of Labor from Disease and Injury: Evidence from German Panel Data
Van Bui and Michael Stolpe
Abstract: This paper studies the evolution of early retirement due
to disease and injury in the German labor force between 1988 and 2004.
Using data from the German Federation of Public Pension Providers, the IMS
Health Drug Launches database and the WHO Mortality Database, we show that
new drug launches have substantially helped to reduce the loss of labor at
the disease-level over time. We employ a variety of econometric methods to
exploit the pseudo-panel structure of our dataset and find that in Western
Germany alone each new chemical entity has on average saved around 200
working years in every year of the observation period. Controlling for
individual determinants of health-related retirement, such as worker’s age,
sex and type of work, we also find evidence that the 2001 reform of pension
laws has led to further reductions in the loss of labor from disease and
injury.
Keywords: Medical technology, Early retirement, Rehabilitation services, Pension reform, Pseudo-panel data; (follow links to similar papers)
JEL-Codes: I12,; I18,; J26; (follow links to similar papers)
73 pages, April 2007
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