Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for World Economics
No 1321:
Costs of Climate Change ; The Effects of Rising Temperatures on Health and Productivity in Germany
Michael Hübler, Gernot Klepper and Sonja Peterson
Abstract: The aim of the study is to quantify climate induced health
risks for Germany. Based on high resolution climate scenarios for the
period 2071 to 2100 we forecast the number of days with heat load and cold
stress. The heat frequency and intensity increases overall but more in the
south. Referring to empirical studies on heat induced health effects we
estimate an average increase in the number of heat induced casualties by a
factor of more than 3. Heat related hospitalization costs increase 6-fold
not including the cost of ambulant treatment. Heat also reduces the work
performance resulting in an estimated output loss of between 0.12 % and
0.48 % of GDP.
Keywords: Costs of climate change, health effects, heat waves, mortality, hospitalization costs, labor productivity; (follow links to similar papers)
JEL-Codes: I10,; Q51,; Q54; (follow links to similar papers)
32 pages, April 2007
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