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Kiel Institute for World Economics Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for World Economics

No 1322:
Nonmonetary Determinants of Inflation in Romania: A Decomposition

Felix Hammermann

Abstract: Why is inflation, 15 years after transition started, still considerably higher in Romania than in the eight EU member states (EU-8) that joined in May 2004? Panel estimation based on ten central and eastern European countries allows us to decompose the inflation differential between Romania and the EU-8. The decomposition suggests that neither the revenue, nor the balance of payments, nor the financial stability motive are driving inflation; rather structural differences are at play. The employment motive, together with indicators reflecting the prolonged structural change, explain most of the inflation gap vis-à-vis the EU-8.

Keywords: inflation, panel data, transition economics; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: E58; (follow links to similar papers)

21 pages, March 2007

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