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Kiel Institute for World Economics Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for World Economics

No 1507:
Rational Expectations Models with Anticipated Shocks and Optimal Policy: A General Solution Method and a New Keynesian Example

Hans-Werner Wohltmann and Roland Winkler

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to show how to solve linear dynamic rational expectations models with anticipated shocks by using the generalized Schur decomposition method. Furthermore, we determine the optimal unrestricted and restricted policy responses to anticipated shocks. We demonstrate our solution method by means of a micro-founded hybrid New Keynesian model and show that anticipated cost-push shocks entail higher welfare losses than unanticipated shocks of equal size

Keywords: Anticipated Shocks, Optimal Monetary Policy, Rational Expectations, Generalized Schur Decomposition, Welfare Effects; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: C61,; C63,; E52; (follow links to similar papers)

27 pages, April 2009

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