Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for World Economics
No 1725:
The Employment Effects of Immigration: Evidence from the Mass Arrival of German Expellees in Post-war Germany
Sebastian Braun and Toman Omar Mahmoud
Abstract: This paper studies the employment effects of the influx of
millions of German expellees to West Germany after World War II. The
expellees were forced to relocate to post-war Germany. They represented a
complete cross-section of society, were close substitutes to the native
West German population, and were very unevenly distributed across labor
market segments in West Germany. We find a substantial negative effect of
expellee inflows on native employment. The effect was, however, limited to
labor market segments with very high inflow rates. IV regressions that
exploit variation in geographical proximity and in pre-war occupations
confirm the OLS results
Keywords: Forced migration, employment, post-war Germany; (follow links to similar papers)
JEL-Codes: J61,; J21; (follow links to similar papers)
26 pages, August 2011
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