Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for World Economics
No 1809:
Adaptation to Climate Change and Climate Variability: Do It Now or Wait and See?
Daiju Narita and Martin F. Quaas
Abstract: As growing attention is paid to climate change adaptation
as an actual policy issue, the significant meaning of climate variability
in adaptation decisions is beginning to be recognized. By using a real
option framework, we shed light on how climate change and climate
variability affect individuals’ (farmers’) investment decisions with regard
to adaptation. As a plausible case in which the delay carries policy
implications, we investigate farmers’ choices when adaptation involves the
use of an open-access resource (water). The results show that uncoordinated
farmers with a high risk aversion may under-adapt while farmers with a low
risk aversion would over-adapt under the same conditions. Private
adaptation should be supported or discouraged accordingly if farmers are
not convinced about the possibilities of collective resource management in
the long run
Keywords: Adaptation to climate change, climate variability, risk and uncertainty, real option, water, open-access resources; (follow links to similar papers)
JEL-Codes: D81,; Q20,; Q54; (follow links to similar papers)
31 pages, November 2012
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