Henrik Lando
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Henrik Lando: Department of Finance, Copenhagen Business School, Postal: Department of Finance, Copenhagen Business School, Solbjerg Plads 3, A5, DK-2000 Frederiksberg, Denmark
Abstract: This paper addresses the issue of the optimal standard of proof in crim-inal
law. It is assumed that people in society care about both fairness and
deterrence. It is important to punish those who are guilty and only those.
However, error is unavoidable and hence a trade-o¤ emerges between the
three aims of punishing the guilty, not punishing the innocent and deterring
potential criminals. It is shown that when only deterrence matters the op-timal
standard of proof is a preponderance-of-the-evidence standard (given
some other assumptions) while if fairness is an issue the standard will gen-erally
be stricter and involve Bayesian up-dating. When both fairness and
deterrence matter the standard of proof will (generally) lie in between the
two standards. An example illustrates how the model might be applied in
practice to determine the optimal standard of proof for a given crime.
Keywords: Law
JEL-codes: A00
32 pages, August 8, 2000
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