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Kiel Institute for World Economics Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for World Economics

No 1557:
Intra-Industry Adjustment to Import Competition: Theory and Application to the German Clothing Industry

Horst Raff and Joachim Wagner

Abstract: This paper uses an oligopoly model with heterogeneous firms to examine how an industry adjusts to rising import competition. The model predicts that in the short run the least efficient firms in the industry become inactive, surviving firms face a fall in output, mark-ups and profits, and the average productivity of survivors increases. These pro-competitive effects of import penetration on the domestic industry disappear in the long run. The predictions for the short run are confirmed in an empirical study of the German clothing industry

Keywords: international trade, firm heterogeneity, productivity, clothing industry; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: F12,; F15; (follow links to similar papers)

22 pages, September 2009

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