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Kiel Institute for World Economics Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for World Economics

No 1750:
Insurance Demand and Prospect Theory

Ulrich Schmidt

Abstract: Empirical evidence has shown that people are unwilling to insure rare losses at subsidized premiums and at the same time take-up insurance for moderate risks at highly loaded premiums. This paper explores whether prospect theory, in particular diminishing sensitivity and loss aversion, can accommodate this evidence. A crucial factor for applying prospect theory to insurance problems is the choice of the reference point. We motivate and explore two possible reference points, state-dependent initial wealth and final wealth after buying full insurance. It turns out that particularly the latter reference point seems to provide a realistic explanation of the empirical evidence

Keywords: insurance demand, prospect theory, flood insurance, diminishing sensitivity, loss aversion; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: D14,; D81,; G21; (follow links to similar papers)

6 pages, January 2012

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