Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for World Economics
No 1758:
The Impact of the 2008 Hadramout Flash Flood in Yemen on Economic Performance and Nutrition: A Simulation Analysis
Clemens Breisinger, Olivier Ecker, Rainer Thiele and Manfred Wiebelt
Abstract: Combining a Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (DCGE)
model of the Yemeni economy with a microsimulation model that captures the
link between changes in household incomes and changes in nutrition status,
this paper provides a quantitative assessment of the agricultural,
economy-wide, and nutritional impacts of the 2008 Hadramout flash flood in
Yemen. The model simulations point to strong and persistent negative
effects on agricultural value added, farm household incomes and nutrition
among farmers in the region most severely affected by the flood. Regional
spillover effects lead to temporary increases in hunger and significant
cumulative income losses even in other regions where the flood has no
direct impact
Keywords: floods, agriculture, nutrition, CGE modeling, Yemen; (follow links to similar papers)
JEL-Codes: I3,; Q1,; O5,; C3; (follow links to similar papers)
27 pages, February 2012
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