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Kiel Institute for World Economics Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for World Economics

No 1773:
The Optimal Inflation Rate and Firm-Level Productivity Growth

Henning Weber

Abstract: Empirical data show that firms tend to improve their ranking in the productivity distribution over time. A sticky-price model with firm-level productivity growth fits this data and predicts that the optimal long-run inflation rate is positive and between 1.5% and 2% per year. In contrast, the standard sticky-price model cannot fit this data and predicts optimal long-run inflation near zero. Despite positive long-run inflation, the Taylor principle ensures determinacy in the model with firm-level productivity growth, and optimal inflation stabilization policies are standard. In a two-sector extension of this model, the optimal long-run inflation rate weights the sector with the stickier prices more heavily

Keywords: Optimal monetary policy, indeterminacy, heterogenous firms, firm entry and exit; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: E31,; E32,; E52,; E61; (follow links to similar papers)

46 pages, May 2012

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