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Kiel Institute for World Economics Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for World Economics

No 1775:
Skill-Biased Technological Change and the Business Cycle

Thijs van Rens Almut Balleer

Abstract: Over the past two decades, technological progress in the United States has been biased towards skilled labor. What does this imply for business cycles? We construct a quarterly skill premium from the CPS and use it to identify skill-biased technology shocks in a VAR with long-run restrictions. Hours fall in response to skill-biased technology shocks, indicating that at least part of the technology-induced fall in total hours is due to a compositional shift in labor demand. Investment-specific technology shocks reduce the skill premium, indicating that capital and skill are not complementary in aggregate production

Keywords: skill-biased technology, skill premium, VAR, long-run restrictions, capital-skill, complementarity, business cycle; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: E24,; E32,; J24,; J31; (follow links to similar papers)

48 pages, June 2012

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