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Kiel Institute for World Economics Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for World Economics

No 1827:
Exchange Rates in Target Zones - Evidence from the Danish Krone

Mark P. Taylor and Stefan Reitz

Abstract: Although the ERM II rules allow the Danish krone to fluctuate against the euro within an official target zone of 4.5%, most of the time the exchange rate has remained in a narrow range around its unconditional mean. Estimating a Smooth Transition Autoregression Target Zone (STARTZ) model confirms that the exchange rate exhibits target zone dynamics consistent with a band of approximately 0.75 percent around its unconditional mean. We conclude that the Danmark Nationalbank intervention policy of intra-marginal operations successfully managed an informal target zone in the foreign exchange market.

Keywords: Target Zone, STARTZ model, Intervention; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: E58,; F31,; G15; (follow links to similar papers)

21 pages, February 2013

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