Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for World Economics
No 924:
Ein quantitatives Szenario des Übergangs vom bestehenden System der Alterssicherung auf ein System der Grundsicherung für alle
Derik Burgert, Hugo Dicke, Hans H. Glismann and Ernst-Jürgen Horn
Abstract: This paper is concerned with establishing the data base
that is necessary to analyse the "double burden" argument which has been
used to reject a sweeping reform of the German old-age pension system. We
show that this argument does not hold if the existing pay-as-you-go system
were to be replaced with a system of tax-funded flat-rate payments for the
old.
We provide some 80 tables containing estimates of claims on the
public-pension system in the year 2000 (the postulated year of transition)
and projections of claims on a future system of flat-rate old-age
payments.
JEL-Codes: H55; (follow links to similar papers)
163 pages, April 1999
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