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Kiel Institute for World Economics Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for World Economics

No 924:
Ein quantitatives Szenario des Übergangs vom bestehenden System der Alterssicherung auf ein System der Grundsicherung für alle

Derik Burgert, Hugo Dicke, Hans H. Glismann and Ernst-Jürgen Horn

Abstract: This paper is concerned with establishing the data base that is necessary to analyse the "double burden" argument which has been used to reject a sweeping reform of the German old-age pension system. We show that this argument does not hold if the existing pay-as-you-go system were to be replaced with a system of tax-funded flat-rate payments for the old.

We provide some 80 tables containing estimates of claims on the public-pension system in the year 2000 (the postulated year of transition) and projections of claims on a future system of flat-rate old-age payments.

JEL-Codes: H55; (follow links to similar papers)

163 pages, April 1999

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