European Business Schools Librarian's Group

Department of Economics Working Papers,
Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics

No 316: Do you know your biases? A Monte Carlo analysis of dynamic panel data estimators

Vadim Kufenko () and Klaus Prettner ()
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Vadim Kufenko: Department of Economics, Vienna University of Economics and Business
Klaus Prettner: Department of Economics, Vienna University of Economics and Business

Abstract: We assess the performance of widely-used dynamic panel data estimators based on Monte Carlo simulations of a dynamic economic process. Knowing the true underlying coefficient of the autoregressive term, we show that most estimators exhibit a severe bias even in the absence of measurement errors, omitted variables, and endogeneity issues. We analyze how the bias changes with the sample size, the autoregressive coefficient, and the estimation options. Based on our insights, we recommend i) carefully choosing appropriate estimators given the underlying structure of the data and ii) scrutinizing the estimation results based on the insights of simulation studies.

Keywords: Theory-Based Monte Carlo Simulation, Dynamic Panel Data Estimators, Estimator Bias, Robustness of Empirical Results

JEL-codes: C10; C13; C33; C52; C53; O47 September 2021

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