Tuna Dökmeci (), Carla Rainer () and Alyssa Schneebaum ()
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Tuna Dökmeci: Department of Economics, European University Institute
Carla Rainer: Department of Economics, Vienna University of Economics and Business
Alyssa Schneebaum: Department of Economics, Vienna University of Economics and Business
Abstract: Using experimental data, this paper analyzes the relationship between households' economic security and their fertility decisions for low-income households. Between 1974 and 1977, a randomized controlled trial was conducted in Manitoba, Canada in which the treatment groups received differing levels of guaranteed annual income. All of the program participants were low-income households. We find positive effects of the program on the probability of child birth that range between 7 to 10 percentage points.
Keywords: fertility, economic security, policy analysis, guaranteed annual income, negative income tax
JEL-codes: I38; J13; J18 February 2023
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