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No 655: Systematic Patterns Before and After Large Price Changes: Evidence from High Frequency Data from the Paris Bourse


Abstract: : This paper examines the intra-day behavior of asset prices shortly before and after large price changes. Whereas similar studies so far have been based on daily closing price, I use three years of high frequency data of 120 stocks listed on the French stock exchange. Various systematic patterns, in addition to those often reported in the literature, emerge from this data. I find evidence that prices do overreact and that a correction takes place after a large price movement, especially those to the downside. The correction does not take place immediately after the large price change. Prior to this, some very significant and sometimes economically important patterns can be observed. When the bid-ask spread is taken into account, I still find some ex-post profitable trading strategies which are too small in magnitude to suggest market inefficiency.

Keywords: predictable pattern; large price change; high frequency data

JEL-codes: G12

21 pages, July 1, 1998

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