European Business Schools Librarian's Group

Les Cahiers de Recherche,
HEC Paris

No 868: Towards a "sophisticated" model of belief dynamics

Brian HILL ()

Abstract: It is well-known that classical models of belief are not realistic representations of human doxastic capacity; equally, models of actions involving beliefs, such as decisions based on beliefs, or changes of beliefs, suffer from similar inaccuracies. In this paper, a general framework is presented which permits a more realistic modelling both of instantaneous states of belief, and of the operations involving them.

Keywords: Representations of belief; bounded rationality; logical omniscience; awareness; logical locality; belief dynamics; iterated revision; Gärdenfors postulates; rational choice theory; framing effect

JEL-codes: C44; D83; D90

30 pages, October 26, 2006

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